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Hace 2 días · Here are my predictions – and the assumptions that underpin them. I am certain about only one thing: at least one of my assumptions will be wrong. On Thursday night the biggest surprise would be if there are no surprises. Labour: 37 per cent of the Britain-wide vote, 400 seats. Conservative: 24 per cent, 155 seats.
Hace 4 días · Setting the landscape, leading pollster and journalist Peter Kellner ponders whether successes or failures can be fairly judged by looking at the Conservatives’ 14 years in power from 1951 to...
Hace 5 días · Peter Kellner: I expect Labour to stick to its manifesto—seeking to reduce barriers to trade, negotiating a veterinary agreement to reduce border checks on food, and working for a UK-EU security pact—but not rejoining the EU’s customs union or single market or reviving freedom of movement.
Hace 2 días · The conclusion is clear. Starmer’s battle to win the 2029 election begins on Friday. Peter Kellner is former president of YouGov and a political analyst and commentator. The combined 2024 vote share of the two main parties will be the lowest ever. That makes a Labour second term uncertain.
Hace 1 día · Peter Kellner · June 17, 2024. Prospect. commentary. The Role of Migration in a Year of Crucial Elections. Roughly half of the world lives in countries holding elections in 2024. Carnegie asked a global group scholars to reflect on the role of migration in electoral campaigns. ...
Hace 5 días · Renata Kellnerova is the widow of Petr Kellner, the former richest person in the Czech Republic, who died in March 2021 at age 56. Kellner died in a helicopter crash in Alaska during a heliskiing...
Hace 2 días · And our special guest today is award-winning journalist Peter Kellner, who has served as president of YouGov and previously worked on BBC Newsnight. He joins the panel to discuss polls, Farage, and everything in between.
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